Brexit, Euro 2016 & Islamic Terror: A Black Swan

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It seems like sheer arrogant folly to have decided to hold a referendum on continued British membership of the E.U. in the middle of a European soccer tournament. Regardless of the results and final positions the English & Welsh teams during this summer’s Euro 2106 in France, to hold a vote on membership during a time of heightened nationalist identity was surely a poorly conceived idea.

It is worth pointing out that this is the first time in 58 years that Wales have qualified for an international football tournament, and together with England whilst both face a vote for continued membership of the E.U.

The Remain campaign is essentially asking the people of Britain to surrender their national sovereignty for something considered progressively better: membership of a European Superstate with little to no control over borders or laws, but a greater good of shared benefits in return.

Add to this potentially fatal cocktail for the Remain campaign, the spectre of Islamic violence that threatens a now perpetually unstable France, and you have the socio-political makings of what Nassim Nicholas Taleb calls a Black Swan – an event or occurrence that deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and is extremely difficult to predict. Black swan events are typically random and are unexpected. Read More & Black Swans for 2016

Islamic terrorists are known to be planning attacks during the Euro 2016 tournaments in France which starts on June 10th. Read More The threat is so imminent that the U.S. government has issued a travel waring to its citizens thinking of attending the tournament to stay away. Read More

Top of the list on their target must be the England Vs Russia game on Sat 11th in Marseilles – which offers no shortage of local population with Islamic affiliations and sympathies. Read More

Any attack on England fans during the tournament would provide no favours to the Remain campaign, as Britons start to view countries like France as failed states in waiting due to the pursuit of reckless E.U. immigration policies.

Together, these disparate elements have all the properties necessary to create a black swan event that could drive the E.U. referendum vote firmly in Britain firmly into the Leave camp, and in doing so trigger the collapse of the greater European project as other countries see it as a green light for their own referendum and exit from a dysfunctional coercive system of bureaucratic elitism employed and personified by the likes of commissioner, Jean-Claude Junker.

 

 

 

Trudeau’s Creeping Sharia

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Federal liberals are considering moves to outlaw Islamophobia, which will essentially make criticism of Islam illegal with no doubt the same sort of legal weight behind it that was recently bestowed on Transgender issue – ultimately jail time. Read More & More from The Rebel

As in Europe, Trudeau’s Liberal party are rapidly exchanging progressive soft-shelled fascism – the coercive silencing of critics by bullying & shaming, for the more full-blown variety – financially destroying & jailing critics.

Within the European Union, the tyranny of progressive decency is now so rampant that countries like Hungary, who after looking at what has happened in France, have the temerity to say: thanks, but no thanks to immigration quotas, are being told by the E.U. that they will take them or face hundreds of millions of euros in fines.

No doubt the same medium (Facebook) that Islamic purists like ISIS are currently using to sell sex slaves at $8000 a go, will be used here to monitor and ensure that Canadians are not criticizing groups like ISIS or Islamic practices like selling sex slaves; child rape; ethnic genocide or the execution of homosexuals.

What should worry conscious Canadians is that under Trudeau’s tenure, all of this can be achieved with be a smile; a press-up and a mic drop for his ideologically insane audience who will eagerly lap up every ounce of the mandatory decency he can produce.

Trudeau falls into a category of progressive liberal world leaders who claim that Islam is a religion of peace and that ‘terrorism has nothing to do with Islam’ – Hillary Clinton.

There are only two available conclusions to a statement like that: either they are lying, or they are stupid. Sorry, it’s one or the other. All the information is out there and the Islamists themselves are quite open about this reality; the prophet Mohammed himself oversaw the execution 600-900 men and boys. Islam is built upon deception, violence & subjugation.

As Ezra Levant stated during the Rebel event in Vancouver last weekend, rather than the rare occasion of a spectacular terror attack here in Canada, what Canadians should fear is a ‘creeping Sharia’, the grounds for which Trudeau’s current government is actively laying.

The move to silence critics is part of a pattern already established In Europe, and which is providing rich fallow earth for a creeping Sharia here in Canada.

This is a progressive model that for the past 25 years in Europe has taken the form of bullying and shaming, with labels of racism and xenophobia for anyone who took issue with the direction society was heading.

In doing so, the engineers of these policies have set the spring for a nasty visceral backlash, that is only now just starting to gain momentum, and which has manifest itself in the rise of nationalist right wing parties in Europe.

However, instead of addressing those concerns and the growing resentment at policies that do not serve the people or their best interests, progressives like Trudeau, Merkel, Hollande & Clinton are doubling down on the rhetoric and seeking to implement laws which strike at the very heart of freedom of speech.

How to Start a War in Europe

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The progressive elites of Europe have a new recipe for war, and they want everyone to try it. Gone are the days of wars inspired by territory or national interests. The new recipe is a brilliantly simple ideological model that works something like this:

Introduce policies based on ideology; ignore effects created by those policies; vilify dissenters & continue with fingers in ears = war

The President of the unelected executive arm of the European Union (EU) has vowed to block all right wing populists from power across the continent, shortly after acquiring the power to exert “far-reaching sanctions” on elected governments.

“There will be no debate or dialogue with the far-right,” the liberal bureaucrat told AFP.  Read More

For the past twenty five years the narrative on ever closer ties with the European Union & mass immigration has been controlled by the progressive left. Anyone who had a problem with this narrative was branded a racist or a xenophobe and told to go away.

However those people don’t go away. As the effects of those policies increase, they find another way of making their voice heard, as we can see in the predictable rise of nationalist parties across Europe – it’s fairly simple how the current situation came about if you are willing to be objective about it.

The political spring has been set for a nasty visceral backlash that is only just starting to build momentum. However, rather than address the issue and face the gathering storm, the elites in their arrogance & folly, have decided that they will simple ignore it and continue on as planned.

This will go down as the perilous pitfall of progressive thought: that ideology trumps reality.

European Union: Dead Man Walking

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The E.U. is facing a perfect storm of its own making. Its failure to manage either the economic or migrant crises, means that opting to remain within the E.U. at this stage would be akin to throwing your lot in with the Ottoman empire at the end of the 19th Century.

Polls also suggest that any country opting out of the Euro experiment via a referendum, could act as a catalyst for others seeking to follow suit. Read More

When things get tough, as they did during the economic crisis and again during the immigration crisis, we get to see the true face of E.U. rule behind the benign facade.

Those countries who mismanaged their budgets had their leaders replaced with E.U. appointed technocrats; those countries who were not comfortable taking large numbers of migrants were informed they would take the quota allocated to them or face a fines of 239,000 Euros per person. So much for for countries like Hungary, Slovakia, Poland & the Czech Republic deciding such things for themselves.

And this week President of the Commission, Jean-Claude Junker warned British voters that they would be treated as ‘deserters’ if they voted to leave the union.

Junker, the former leader of Luxembourg must appreciate the effect his choice of words convey: that ‘deserters’ are traditionally shot. It is highly inflammatory and displays the sort of autocratic arrogance we have come to associate with E.U. ministers. Read More

Rather than avoid the spectre of war in Europe and secure economic harmony – the two objectives the E.U. was primarily set up to achieve – it has, through a progressive policy of forcing ideological pegs into cultural holes, ensured the servitude of those countries who cannot live up to economic expectations, and sown the seeds of future ethnic wars continent wide.

“I believe that the European Union is in the process of collapsing on itself for one simple reason. The two pillars on which it’s founded – Schengen and the euro – are in the process of crumbling,”  Marine Le Pen, Leader of the French National Front. Read More

In February, Hungary announced a referendum on migrant quotas imposed by the E.U.

In an unprecedented challenge to Brussels’ authority over national law, the Hungarian Prime Minister, Viktor Oban announced the country would hold a referendum on the question. States are legally bound by decisions made in the Council of Ministers, and there is no precedent for a state putting such a decision to popular vote.

“The Hungarian government believes that neither the union nor Brussels nor the European leaders nor any European body has the authority to do this,” Mr Orban said. “We feel that introducing a settlement quota without the consent of the people is nothing but abuse of power.”

Donald Tusk, the European Council president, warned that countries rejecting refugee measures would push Britain to leave the EU, saying the crises are “strictly interconnected.”

We have entered a most dangerous time in the European history.” Donald Tusk, European Council President

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Sowing the Seeds of Ethnic War

In France, half of their armed forces are deployed on French streets to police the final stages of an experiment which, even by the more generous interpretations, has failed.  What we are seeing in France is the start of an ethnic war. People returning from Belgium after years of living in the country describe it as “fucked.”

These are the startling realities that supporters of continued Islamic immigration won’t acknowledge; continuing with the same policies and hoping for a wind change is criminally naive. It would be one thing if Islamist attacks only killed those who apologize for and excuse Islamic violence, but unfortunately they don’t.

As political philosopher, Roger Scruton points out in The Uses of Pessimism,

“Since the sixties Western countries have adopted policies in the matter of immigration that no person schooled in the elementary truths of pessimism would have endorsed. Anybody who has studied the fate of empires, and the difficulties of establishing territorial jurisdiction over communities that differ in religion, language & marital customs, knows that the task is all but impossible, and threatens constantly to break down into fragmentation, tribalism or civil war. Take the lid off multi-ethnic and multicultural empires – such as the Ottoman or communist Yugoslavia – and bloodshed and destruction ensue.”

The failure to see culture and race as considerations by those driving policy, has ensured that the conditions that developed over a thousand years in Yugoslavia, have been recreated in less than two generations in modern Europe. A European ethnic civil war is a almost a certainty at this stage, it’s now merely how big that war is.

On June 23rd people in Britain have the opportunity to set course and escape the inevitable scramble for life jackets by voting to leave the E.U.

 

 

Trudeaumania: List Under Satire

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Can someone please call The Guardian a taxi, they’ve had too much to drink.

Imagine a West Wing episode come to life, and that’s basically Justin Trudeau. The winsome Canadian prime minister blew up the internet again this week via an old photo of him larking about for the cameras, balancing his entire weight on his wrists on the edge of a desk in trademark manly-but-sensitive fashion. One more for a photo album that so far includes Trudeau cuddling pandas, Trudeau proudly proclaiming himself a feminist, Trudeau wearing a Barbie-pink sweatshirt in solidarity with kids bullied for looking different – and of course a newly elected Trudeau last autumn answering questions about why half his new cabinet was female, with the words “because it’s 2015”, and a shrug that clearly meant “so deal with it.”

Who else is still pulling off the whole hopey-changey thing, still surfing a wave of sunny progressive feeling when the US and much of Europe are increasingly convulsed with rage against either poor migrants or privileged elites, or both? While Britons contemplate a supposedly “kinder, gentler politics” of the left that turns out to come garnished with vicious personal attacks and repulsively antisemitic undercurrents, lucky old Canada gets a photogenic ex-snowboarding instructor calmly explaining why it’s not so mad to run a deficit.

Just little bit more? Go on then…

From the outside at least, Canada seems to be pulling off the elusive trick of remaining tolerant, relaxed and at ease with itself in challenging circumstances with more aplomb than most. You’d think all progressives would be hammering on the door to find out how they do it. But while any leftish policy wonk can give you chapter and verse on Scandinavia, few have made a life’s work of studying Canada, even though its quietly self-effacing culture seems in some ways a more realistic vision of what a future progressive Britain could be.

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The Progressive Aggregation Fallacy with Pat Condell

An Aggregation Fallacy is the support for two or more causes that are in opposition to each other that co-exist within an ideology. Currently the best example of this is the support within progressive liberalism for third way feminism and LGBT rights at the same time as support for Islamic immigration.

It is both ideologically and practically impossible to champion the causes of the former, whilst also supporting the latter. We should not need to point out this logical inconsistency, but hey, that’s the world we live in.

In his book, The Uses of Pessimism, political philosopher, Roger Scruton explains the idea of an aggregation fallacy as follows:

‘When the French Revolutionaries crafted their famous slogan, ‘Liberty, Equality, Fraternity’ they were in a state of exaltation that prevented them from seeing any fault in it. In their eyes liberty was good, equality was good and fraternity was good, so the combination was thrice good. That’s like saying lobster is good, chocolate is good and ketchup is good, so lobster cooked in chocolate and ketchup is thrice good.

The French had to go through a painful process of discovery before realizing what they had embarked upon. Even when Robespierre fanatically promoted ‘the despotism of liberty’ it did not dawn on the Jacobins that they were committed to a contradiction: the goal of equality requires the destruction of liberty.

The thinking here embodies a fallacy that is replicated whenever the desire for good things impetuously cancels any attempt to understand the connections between them… As a result, they add one good thing in an ever expanding wish-list. And because each good has been taken from its context and transferred to an imaginary world, the result is almost certain to involve aims that cannot advance together.’

Warning: pointing out progressive aggregation fallacies might lead to being labelled a fascist or a racist.

Merkel Pleads Insanity

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It would appear, and as reported, in the light of recent figures suggesting that over 60% of Germans feel that Islam has no place in Germany, the open border immigration policies that Angela Merkel’s government drove home to Germans last autumn have started to have their obvious and predictable consequences.

Obvious and predictable to all but her it would seem. Now she is furiously back peddling as she realizes that her drunken policies might not only destroy her country, but also her career.

With her country’s political landscape shifting significantly before her, Angela Merkel has now put her political hat on in order to survive politically in Germany.

As France 24 reports, Angela Merkel is urging European Leaders to protect the EU’s external borders or risk a “return to nationalism.” Merkel said the “freedom of movement” in Europe is at stake as it deals with the worst migration crisis since WWII.

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And it does pose the very valid question: If other people could see the folly of last summer’s open door policy, why weren’t those with infinitely greater resources and knowledge aware of the mistakes they were making at the time?

Without question, back-peddling on such a serious failure should be viewed with nothing but contempt. Of course she should pay with her political career, but given the culturally invasive nature of the seeds they have sown, leaders like Angela Merkel, Francois Hollande & the E.U. policy commissioners – who continue to coerce sovereign nations into taking refugee quotas they do not want – should now be looking in the rear view mirror for charges of treason appearing on the horizon.

Labour’s Real Anti-Semetism Issue

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You could say that Jeremy Corbyn’s Old Labour are a victim of their own leftist logic. This week life long member and activist, Ken Livingstone was suspended after having the temerity to say that Hitler was a Zionist who supported a Jewish state in Palestine. Now you would have thought that anyone wanting to clear this up, could spend 15 minutes researching as to whether this statement is correct or not, before embarking upon a campaign to have the member removed from his post.

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It turns out that Livingstone is correct to at least some degree, Adolf Hitler’s government did establish the Haavara Agreement in 1933 with Zionist German Jews to help resettle German Jews in Palestine. Read More

But none of this seems to matter, as the guardians of the progressive narrative have demonstrated time and time again in recent years – the truth does not matter; perception is everything. In short, it’s the sort of logic defying stunt that the liberal left pull on a daily basis. Only this time, the victim is one of their own.

Does this mean that the British Labour Party is not anti- Semetic? Don’t be silly, the left in Britain is riven with an anti-Semitism that borders upon systemic, but the source of that anti-Semetism has its roots firmly elsewhere – in it’s cosy alliance with Hamas over the Palestinian issue; as illustrated earlier last week with the expulsion of another Labour Party MP, Naz Shah, who suggested on social media that the state of Israel should be dismantled & relocated to the U.S. Midwest. Read More  and More

In sober moments, those on the the left in Britain will tell you that their issue is not with the Jewish people, but with the state of Israel and Zionism. However that is clearly not how their allies in this cause – the growing and increasingly militant British Muslim population see it. And together with their brothers and sisters in France, Belgium and Germany, they are almost singlehandedly once again making Europe a dangerous place to be Jewish.

A new study published by the Institute for the Study of Global Anti-Semitism and Policy (ISGAP) confirms what many have long suspected: that the worst crimes against Jews in Europe are perpetrated by (European) Muslims, and that Muslims have been responsible for a “disproportionate” number of anti-Semitic attacks over the past 15 years.

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Where’s the Rage? All You Can Hear Is Crickets

 

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There have been a couple of big international stories over the past week that should have had both feminists & the LGBT community up off their seats in rage.

The first was a story about 250 women that were executed for refusing to become ISIS sex slaves. You know how bent out of shape feminists get over things like man spreading and the patriarchy; everyone knows, they lose their shit! So you would have thought given the severity of this crime against women, that feminist across the globe would outraged by the execution of 250 sisters for refusing to be sex slaves. Apparently not.

Then a few days later, another story, that this time should have had the LGBT community out of their seats in rage: two men hackled to bits by ISIS militants in Bangladesh for being gay. You know how the LGBT community blows its stack over things like gender neutral bathrooms and gay wedding cakes baked by Christians, they lose their shit! So you would have thought that the brutal murder of two gay men in an intolerant oppressive nation for religious reasons would have had them making human chains outside the embassy. Again, not so.

What is it about these two cases that differs from the relatively pedestrian domestic issues of gay cakes & man spreading? It’s race.

Liberal racism is one of the most  perverse forms of racism out there. It basically works like this: We can’t criticize mass murders by Muslims because Muslims are generally brown. People of darker skin are not to be criticized or held to the same standard of expectation because of their politically correct high caste status.

It is also why professional liberals can indulge in that most entertaining of aggregate fallacies – support for Islam & feminism. Which is the ideological equivalent of being secretly married to two people who live in the same street – one day it’s going to get very messy.

But when you control the narrative, you can afford to live in a world of such megalithic inconsistencies. No one is going to point them out, and if they do, you can silence them by calling privilege or racism.